Episode 28 — Form testable hypotheses that survive scrutiny
A hypothesis-driven approach is essential for focused investigations, allowing an analyst to move beyond aimless data browsing to a structured search for the truth. This episode teaches you how to form "testable" hypotheses—logical statements that can be proven or disproven by technical evidence—such as "The adversary is using valid credentials to move laterally through the R&D segment." We discuss the importance of the "falsifiability" principle, where an analyst must actively look for data that contradicts their theory rather than just searching for confirmation. In a certification context, you should be able to derive a hypothesis from a set of initial indicators and then identify the specific logs needed to validate it. Practical application involves the use of "competing hypotheses" to ensure that alternative explanations, like a false flag operation, are given serious technical consideration. Mastering this skill ensures your investigations are purposeful, defensible, and capable of surviving intense scrutiny during a post-mortem review. Produced by BareMetalCyber.com, where you’ll find more cyber audio courses, books, and information to strengthen your educational path. Also, if you want to stay up to date with the latest news, visit DailyCyber.News for a newsletter you can use, and a daily podcast you can commute with.
